Mobile code: The Future of the Internet full report
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26-04-2010, 10:53 AM
Use of the Internet has exploded in recent years with the appearance of the World-Wide Web. In this paper, we show how current technological trends necessarily lead to a system based substantially on mobile code, and in many cases, mobile agents. We discuss several technical and non-technical hurdles along the path to that eventuality. Finally, we predict that, within five years, nearly all major Internet sites will be capable of hosting and willing to host some form of mobile agents.
David Kotz and Robert S. Gray
Department of Computer Science / Thayer School of Engineering
Hanover, New Hampshire 03755
Introduction Rapidly evolving network and computer technology, coupled with the exponential growth of the services and information available on the Internet, will soon bring us to the point where hundreds of millions of people will have fast, pervasive access to a phenomenal amount of information, through desktop machines at work, school and home, through televisions, phones, pagers, and car dashboards, from anywhere and everywhere. Mobile agents will be an essential tool for allowing such access. Mobile agents are an e_ective choice for many reasons [LO99], and although not all applications will need mobile agents, many other applications will _nd mobile agents the most e_ective implementation technique for all or part of their tasks. Although current trends in Internet technology and usage lead inevitably to the use of mobile agents, several technical and non-technical hurdles must be addressed along the way. Although these hurdles represent signi_cant challenges, they can be cleared within years, and nearly all major Internet sites will accept mobile agents within _ve years. The goal of this position paper is to spark discussion about how best to realize this optimistic, but reasonable, vision.
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21-07-2012, 11:18 AM
The Future of the Internet
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Just as the Internet revolutionized how the world accessed information and communicated through the 1990's, the ongoing development in speed, bandwidth, and functionality will continue to cause fundamental changes to how our world operates for decades to come. Some of the major trends shaping the future of the Internet are summarized below, along with extrapolated predictions
● Globalism. The future of the Internet global distribution of information and knowledge at lower and lower cost will continue to lift the world community for generations to come. People will have access to any information they wish, get smarter sooner, and be more aware of the world outside their local environment. A better informed humanity will make better macro-level decisions, and an increasingly integrated world will drive international relations towards a global focus. Attachments to countries will marginally decrease, and attachments to the Earth as a shared resource will significantly increase.
● Communities. The future of the Internet communications revolution is ongoing, now uniting communities as it recently united networks. Not everything about the Internet is global; an interconnected world is also locally interconnected. The Internet will increasingly be used for communications within communities as much as across countries. Local communities will organize in virtual space and take increasing advantage of group communication tools such as mailing lists, newsgroups, and websites, and towns and cities will become more organized and empowered at the neighborhood level.
● At the same time, communities will be as profoundly affected by the capabilities the Internet is bringing to individual communications, providing individuals in the once isolating city the ability to easily establish relationships with others in their local area by first meeting in cyberspace. From hobby clubs to political organizations to social networking, Internet applications will change expectations of geographically oriented community organizations, and provide increasingly wide choices to individuals who wish to participate in local communities that share their interests.
● Virtual reality. The future of the Internet technological revolution will continue to be made in man's image. Experiments with wide area voice and video communications on the Internet began to be held in the early 1990's. Voice over IP (VOIP) began to be used regularly for long distance voice communications in 2002. Internet video phones won't be far behind. With the continued doubling of computer capability every couple of years, the ability of technology to process the complex analog environment that humans live in -- "reality" -- will continue to increase, and will be increasingly integrated with the Internet.
● Three dimensional graphics will become more sophisticated, and virtual reality interfaces such as viewers and tactile feedback systems will become more realistic. The technology will be applied to innovative ways to navigate the Internet's information universe, for hyper-realistic gaming, and for group communications. There will come a day when you will be able to have dinner with a group of friends each in a different city, almost as though you were in the same room, although you will all have to bring your own food.
● Virtual reality applications will not only better and better reflect the natural world, they will also have the fluidity, flexibility, and speed of the digital world, layered on the Internet, and so will be used to create apparently magical environments of types we can only now begin to imagine. These increasingly sophisticated virtual experiences will continue to change how we understand the nature of reality, experience, art, and human relations.
● Bandwidth. The future of the Internet growth in bandwidth availability shows little sign of flattening. Large increases of bandwidth in the 10 Mbps range and up will continue to be deployed to home users through cable, phone, and wireless networks. Cable modems and telephone-based DSL modems will continue to spread high speed Internet throughout populated areas. High resolution audio, video, and virtual reality will be increasingly available online and on demand, and the cost of all kinds of Internet connections will continue to drop.
● Wireless. The future of Internet wireless communications is the end-game. Wireless frequencies has two great advantages: (a) there are no infrastructure start-up or maintenance costs other than the base stations, and (b) it frees users to become mobile, taking Internet use from one dimension to three. Wireless Internet networks will offer increasingly faster services at vastly lower costs over wider distances, eventually pushing out physical transmission systems.